Pending Pinstripes Latest Posts
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Has Jeter Lost His Swing?
01.16.11 -
A Pitch F/X Look at Cliff Lee
12.13.10
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A Pitch F/X Look at Cliff Lee
12.13.10 -
Yankees and...Crawford?
12.03.10
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20 June 2010
I was flipping through the leaderboards on Fangraphs today, and I noticed how similarly AJ Burnett and CJ Wilson have pitched so far this year:
| K (% of PA) | BB (% of PA) | GB% | xFIP | |
| AJ | 16.41% | 8.33% | 47.6% | 4.60 |
| CJ | 17.48% | 10.60% | 49.6% | 4.56 |
Weird, huh? There are more similarities (these obviously have to do with the similarity in K%):
| percetage of balls swung at (by opposing batters) | contact % | |
| AJ | 23.7% | 83% |
| CJ | 22.8% | 83.9% |
This is clearly not what the Yankees wanted or expected. AJ is pitching like a converted reliever (CJ was a reliever before this year), and is currently on pace for about a 2 WAR season (about average). If we assume each win above replacement to be worth about 4 million on the free agent market, AJ's performance, were he to continue to pitch like he is now, would be worth about 8 million. That would be about half of what he is being payed.
=
?
When they signed AJ in 2008, I'm sure they were expecting performance a lot more like this:
| K (% of PA) | BB (% of PA) | GB% | xFIP | |
| AJ (2008) | 24.1% | 9.00% | 48.5% | 3.55 |
*photo credit AJ photo: from padresteve.wordpress.com
*photo credit CJ photo: from profantasybaseball.com
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